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How AI is Y Combinator?

87.9% of YC's Fall 2026 batch describe themselves as AI, and 40% of 2026 companies pitch an agent. We classified all 6,360 YC companies since 2005.

Cover for How AI is Y Combinator? A skyline of every YC batch from Summer 2005 to Fall 2026, one cell per company (6,349), with cells lit for companies that describe themselves as AI today, rising to 87.9% of the Fall 2026 batch (174 of 198), next to a record 816 companies in 2026 and 40.3% of 2026 companies that call what they build an agent.
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Since 2025 Y Combinator has run four batches a year, of roughly 140 to 230 startups each. Ask what share of them are AI companies and you get a different answer from every outlet that has tried: TechCrunch counted 86 of 247 in Winter 2024, YC itself said "at least 50%", and newsletters now quote numbers near 90% that YC never published. The answers differ because the definitions do, and because YC's directory is edited by founders long after their batch ends.

So we counted all of it. We pulled every company in YC's public directory on 31 October 2026, 6,360 in all, from Summer 2005 to the Fall 2026 batch now in session, and classified each one three ways: YC's own tags, the words in its description, and a stricter test of whether the product itself is built on AI. We read 300 random companies and 100 agent companies by hand to check the classifiers, matched 829 companies to the Launch HN posts they wrote at the time to see how much of the history has been rewritten, and coded every one of YC's 107 Requests for Startups since 2024. The methodology has the details and the limits.

Key findings

  1. 1
    Nearly nine in ten. 87.9% of the Fall 2026 batch (174 of 198 companies listed so far) describe themselves as AI, and every batch since Winter 2024 sits between 83.8% and 92.8%. The peak was Summer 2025, at 92.8%. By a stricter test, whether the product itself is built on AI, it's about seven in ten.
  2. 2
    The real step was Winter 2023. In the Launch HN posts YC companies wrote at the time, 12.3% of Winter 2022 and 12.8% of Summer 2022 launches pitched AI. Winter 2023, the first batch after ChatGPT, jumped to 40.0%.
  3. 3
    The history has been rewritten. Of 451 companies from 2019–2022 batches, 6.7% pitched AI on Launch HN at the time; 21.3% have AI in their directory one-liner today. Superpowered became Vapi, and Infra became Ollama.
  4. 4
    A third of 2026 companies build agents. 40.3% of 2026 companies call what they build an agent; 83 of 100 we checked really are agents or tools for agents. One in five puts "agent" in its one-line pitch.
  5. 5
    AI is going vertical and physical. Among AI companies, the share selling to one industry rose from 26.5% in 2024 to 35.3% in 2026. Robotics went from 0.7% of Winter 2023 to 18.0% of Summer 2026.
  6. 6
    The non-AI minority is hard tech. Of the 113 companies in 2026 batches that aren't AI by any of our tests, 61 are in YC's Industrials category: space, drones, batteries, turbines.
  7. 7
    Batches got smaller, years got bigger. The directory lists a record 816 companies for 2026, across four batches, against 725 in 2021's two.
  8. 8
    YC asks for AI too. 68 of the 107 items in YC's Requests for Startups since 2024 (64%) are AI products. The list YC had up until early 2024 had one AI topic out of 20.

87.9%

Fall 2026 companies (174 of 198, in session) that describe themselves as AI; peak 92.8% in Summer 2025

Source: host0 analysis of the YC directory, 31 Oct 2026

40.3%

2026 YC companies that call what they build an agent; 83 of 100 hand-checked really are

Source: host0 analysis

816

Companies listed for 2026, a record, across four batches (725 in 2021's two)

Source: host0 analysis of the YC directory

40.0%

Winter 2023 Launch HN taglines pitching AI, the first batch after ChatGPT (Summer 2022: 12.8%)

Source: host0 analysis of HN Algolia

Nine in ten, batch after batch#

Our broad test counts a company as AI if YC's tags say so or if its one-liner or description uses AI terms: AI, LLM, machine learning, computer vision, foundation models, AI agents and dozens more, with insurance, travel and real estate agents filtered out. In a hand check of 150 random companies from 2024–2026 batches, it was right 96% of the time and caught 95% of the companies we judged AI. It measures what founders say about themselves, which is the question most people are asking.

By that test, the AI share of each year's companies has climbed from single digits to the high 80s. Read the early years with care: every number below uses the directory as it reads today, and older companies have had years to rewrite their pitch.

YC companies that describe themselves as AI, by batch year

Share of companies listed in YC's directory, by the year of their batch, 2005 to 2026, as described on 31 Oct 2026

YC companies that describe themselves as AI, by batch year
LabelValue
20050%
20065.9%
20076.1%
20082.3%
20097.1%
20107.9%
20116.7%
20128.1%
20135.1%
201413.8%
201521%
201618.8%
201726.1%
201828.2%
201926.1%
202029.2%
202132.7%
202249.4%
202372.9%
202484.9%
202588.9%
202686.2%
The highlighted years are 2023 on, the first above half. Before 2023 these are shares of what those companies say about themselves today, which overstates the AI share at the time (see the next section). 2026 includes Fall 2026, still in session.

Source: host0 analysis of the YC company directory

Across every company YC lists from Summer 2005 to Fall 2026, exactly half are AI by this test: 3,174 of 6,349. Two-thirds of those come from 2023 or later batches.

Batch by batch, the line flattens out after Winter 2024. Since then every batch has been between 83.8% and 92.8% AI, so the share has stopped rising. There's almost no room left.

AI share of each YC batch, 2021 to Fall 2026

Share of companies listed per batch that describe themselves as AI, as of 31 Oct 2026

AI share of each YC batch, 2021 to Fall 2026
LabelValue
W2130.1% (335 cos)
S2134.9% (390)
W2245.2% (398)
S2256.7% (233)
W2369% (274)
S2377.7% (220)
W2484.3% (248)
S2485.1% (248)
F2486.2% (94)
W2584.3% (166)
X2589.6% (144)
S2592.8% (166)
F2589% (145)
W2683.8% (197)
X2684.5% (193)
S2688.2% (228)
F2687.9% (198)
W = winter, X = spring, S = summer, F = fall. The highlighted bars are the peak, Summer 2025 (154 of 166), and the batch in session, Fall 2026 (174 of 198). Notes are companies listed per batch.

Source: host0 analysis of the YC company directory

"Describes itself as AI" includes a lot of companies where AI is a feature: an accounting firm that uses models internally, a marketplace with smart matching. When we read 150 random 2024–2026 companies by hand, 134 (89%) built with AI or claimed it, and 107 (71%) had a product built on machine learning or language models, or made tools for AI. Our stricter classifier, which needs AI in the one-liner (or an AI tag plus AI at the top of the description), puts 2026 at 65.6% and is a little conservative. About seven in ten is the honest strict answer.

The real step was Winter 2023#

Everything above has a catch. The directory is today's text, and founders edit it. A 2021 company that pivoted to AI in 2023 now reads as an AI company in its 2021 batch. To see what companies pitched at the time, we used Launch HN: the post a YC company writes on Hacker News when it launches, titled "Launch HN: Name (YC W23) – tagline". We matched 829 of them to the directory and ran the same AI test on the tagline they wrote then.

Launch HN taglines that pitched AI, by batch

Share of each batch's matched Launch HN posts whose tagline mentions AI, at the time of posting, W19 to S26

Launch HN taglines that pitched AI, by batch
LabelValue
W192.1% (n=48)
S192.5% (n=40)
W205.8% (n=52)
S204.2% (n=48)
W214.5% (n=89)
S219% (n=78)
W2212.3% (n=57)
S2212.8% (n=39)
W2340% (n=60)
S2340% (n=20)
W2442.4% (n=33)
S2443.8% (n=32)
W2552.4% (n=21)
X2568.8% (n=16)
S2556% (n=25)
W2677.8% (n=18)
S2657.1% (n=21)
The highlighted bar is Winter 2023, the first batch after ChatGPT launched on 30 November 2022: every one of its 60 matched launches came after it. Fall batches and Spring 2026 (under 15 matched launches each) are left out. Recent batches have small samples, so read the level, not each bar.

Source: host0 analysis of HN Algolia Launch HN posts

The jump is sharp. Twelve to thirteen percent of the 2022 batches pitched AI at launch; Winter 2023 pitched it 40% of the time. Today's directory makes Summer 2022 look 56.7% AI, and most of that is companies that changed their pitch later. Of Summer 2022's 39 matched launches, 24 were posted before ChatGPT, and 3 of those pitched AI.

Put the same companies side by side, then and now, and the rewrite is clear. For companies from 2019 to 2022 batches, AI in the one-liner today runs two to six times what they pitched at launch, about three times pooled. From 2025 on the two agree within the noise of comparing two different texts, about ten points either way.

AI in the pitch, then and now, for the same companies

Share of Launch HN companies with AI in their tagline at launch vs in their directory one-liner on 31 Oct 2026, by batch year, 2017 to 2026

AI in the pitch, then and now, for the same companies
Seriesxy
One-liner today20179.8%
One-liner today201810%
One-liner today201914.8%
One-liner today202021%
One-liner today202122.8%
One-liner today202225%
One-liner today202351.2%
One-liner today202466.2%
One-liner today202569.2%
One-liner today202658.5%
Launch HN tagline, at the time20176.6%
Launch HN tagline, at the time20186%
Launch HN tagline, at the time20192.3%
Launch HN tagline, at the time20205%
Launch HN tagline, at the time20216.6%
Launch HN tagline, at the time202212.5%
Launch HN tagline, at the time202340%
Launch HN tagline, at the time202445.5%
Launch HN tagline, at the time202558.5%
Launch HN tagline, at the time202668.3%
The gap between the lines is the back-dating: companies that added AI to their pitch after launch. Pooled over 2019–2022, 30 of 451 pitched AI then and 96 say so in their one-liner now. The lines cross in 2026, when companies have had no time to pivot.

Source: host0 analysis of HN Algolia and the YC directory

We read 25 of the companies that moved from a non-AI launch to an AI one-liner. All 25 had changed their pitch. Fourteen became a different product, often under a new name: Vapi (W21) launched on Hacker News in March 2021 as Superpowered, "Calendar in your menu bar", and now sells voice AI for developers. Ollama (W21) launched as Infra in May 2022 with open-source access management for Kubernetes. The other 11 kept the product and reframed it: Rootly (S21) launched in 2022 to "Manage Incidents in Slack" and is now "AI-native on-call and incident response".

The older batches lean further. We sampled 60 companies from 2005–2019 batches that our test calls AI today and looked up their own websites in the Wayback Machine in the 18 months or so after their batch started. Of the 30 with a usable capture, 13 mentioned AI, machine learning or computer vision at the time. The real ones are there, Wit.ai and Deepgram among them, but a fair reading of 2015–2019 is roughly 10–15% AI at the time, not the 19–28% the directory gives today.

How you count changes the answer#

The same batch can be a third AI or three quarters AI depending on who counts and how. Winter 2024 is the best example, because five different counts exist for it.

Five answers to how AI Winter 2024 was

Share of the W24 batch counted as AI, by source and definition

Five answers to how AI Winter 2024 was
LabelValue
Call themselves an AI startup35% (86 of 247)
YC: building around AI≥50% (YC blog)
Hand review, AI or ML65% (158 of 245)
Mention AI in the pitch76% (187 of 247)
Our test, today's text84% (209 of 248)
The first and fourth bars are TechCrunch's April 2024 count; the third is Charlie Guo's hand review in Artificial Ignorance. Ours is the broadest, and it reads the directory two and a half years later, after some companies added AI to their pitch.

Sources: TechCrunch, 5 Apr 2024; YC blog, 3 Apr 2024; Artificial Ignorance

None of these is wrong; they answer different questions. "Calls itself an AI startup" is a label founders pick from a list. "Mentions AI" is the widest net. Ours is close to "mentions AI", checked by hand. YC hasn't published a per-batch AI share since Winter 2025, when CNBC reported that "about 80% of the YC companies that presented this week were AI focused". The 88–91% figures circulating for 2026 batches come from newsletters, not from YC.

A third of 2026 companies build agents#

The word of the moment is "agent". In 2026, 40.3% of YC companies use agent or agentic for what they build, with human agents (insurance, real estate, support) filtered out. We read 100 random flagged companies from 2024–2026: 83 sell an AI agent or tools for agents, 15 mention agents as one feature, and 2 were false hits. So about a third of 2026 companies are agent companies in the strict sense.

YC companies that build agents

Share of companies per batch year using agent or agentic for what they build, 2023 to 2026

YC companies that build agents
LabelValue
202322.1% (one-liner: 12.3%)
202429.7% (15.9%)
202539.6% (20.1%)
202640.3% (21.6%)
Notes are the share that put the word in the one-line pitch itself; in Fall 2026 that's 27.3%. In a hand check, 83 of 100 flagged companies really were agents or agent tooling. Earlier years aren't shown: their counts are inflated by companies that pivoted into agents later.

Source: host0 analysis of the YC company directory

Agents come in two kinds. Roughly a third of the real agent companies in our sample (27 of 83, on a rough second pass) build for other agents rather than for people: browsers, sandboxes, memory, payments, evaluation, data. The rest sell an agent that does a job. The job title is the pitch now: in 2026, 9.1% of one-liners describe an "AI" plus a role, such as an AI accountant, recruiter, receptionist, analyst or SDR.

What kind of AI#

Most YC AI companies sell to businesses, and most of those sell a business function rather than an industry. Between 2024 and 2026, 62.9% of AI companies were horizontal by YC's own sub-industry labels (engineering, sales, finance, HR, security), 30.2% were vertical (one industry: healthcare, fintech, industrials, real estate, education, government) and 6.9% were consumer. The vertical share is the one moving: 26.5% in 2024, 27.0% in 2025, 35.3% in 2026.

What YC's AI companies work on, 2026

Share of 2026 AI companies by keyword in the one-liner and opening description (a company can match several), n = 703

What YC's AI companies work on, 2026
LabelValue
AI infra, models and data17.2% (2024: 7.2%)
Finance, accounting, tax11.2% (2024: 10.2%)
Coding and software10.4% (2024: 13.8%)
Healthcare and bio10% (2024: 14.2%)
Manufacturing and industrial8.8% (2024: 5.2%)
Robotics and physical AI8.5% (2024: 3.4%)
Sales, marketing, GTM5.1% (2024: 7.2%)
Security4.6% (2024: 3.8%)
Insurance4.3% (2024: 2.0%)
Legal and compliance3.8% (2024: 6.2%)
Voice3% (2024: 5.2%)
The highlighted bars grew fastest since 2024: AI infra and robotics more than doubled their share, manufacturing rose by two-thirds (insurance doubled too, from a small base). Coding, healthcare, legal, sales and voice lost share as the batches grew. Keywords are crude: 51 of 60 hits we checked were the company's real domain.

Source: host0 analysis of the YC company directory

Coding is still huge if you count YC's own labels. Dev tools and infrastructure were 21.2% of all 2026 companies, and 96.5% of those were AI. The share fell from 25.1% in 2024 and 2025 because the batches grew elsewhere. TechCrunch reported in 2024 that YC had backed more than a dozen AI code editors between 2022 and 2024, citing Deckmatch's analysis.

A newer pattern is the AI-native firm: companies that sell the service itself rather than software for it. One-liners like "AI-native accounting firm", "AI-native law firm" or "AI-native customs brokerage" went from 6 companies in 2024 to 9 in 2025 and 32 in 2026, 3.9% of the year. YC asked for exactly this in its Summer 2026 Requests for Startups ("AI-Native Service Companies") and its Spring 2026 one ("AI-Native Agencies").

Who YC's AI companies sell to

Share of AI companies by YC industry and sub-industry, horizontal = a business function, vertical = one industry

Who YC's AI companies sell to
LabelValue
Horizontal, 202463.5%
Horizontal, 202659.6%
Vertical, 202426.5%
Vertical, 202635.3%
Consumer, 202410%
Consumer, 20265.1%
Vertical AI gained almost nine points in two years; consumer AI halved. We count fintech as vertical and legal as horizontal (a function), and both calls are arguable. n = 501 AI companies in 2024, 703 in 2026.

Source: host0 analysis of the YC company directory

Robots and the holdouts#

The fastest-growing category isn't software. Companies that build robots, drones, humanoids or "physical AI" were 0.7% of Winter 2023 and 18.0% of Summer 2026. YC's Industrials category grew from 2.2% to 25.0% of a batch over the same period.

Robotics in YC batches

Share of companies per batch building robots, drones, humanoids or physical AI, W23 to Fall 2026

Robotics in YC batches
LabelValue
W230.7%
S231.8%
W242.8%
S247.7%
F244.3%
W257.2%
X257.6%
S258.4%
F258.3%
W2610.2%
X2611.9%
S2618%
F2616.7%
The highlighted Summer 2026 batch had 41 robotics companies of 228. We count robotics by keyword, a Robotics tag, or YC's Manufacturing and Robotics sub-industry, so it includes robot hardware without an AI claim.

Source: host0 analysis of the YC company directory

That's where the companies that aren't AI went too. In 2026, 113 of the 816 companies aren't AI by any of our tests, and more than half of them are hardware.

The YC companies that aren't AI, 2026

2026 companies that pass none of our AI tests, by YC industry, n = 113

The YC companies that aren't AI, 2026
LabelValue
Industrials61 (54%)
B2B21 (19%)
Fintech13 (12%)
Consumer8 (7%)
Healthcare8 (7%)
Real estate1
Government1
The highlighted holdouts build space hardware, drones and counter-drone systems, batteries, turbines and robot parts. The fintech ones are prediction markets, crypto and exchanges. In 2024, Industrials were 17 of 89 non-AI companies.

Source: host0 analysis of the YC company directory

Smaller batches, more of them#

YC moved from two batches a year to four. Fall 2024 was the first fall batch and Spring 2025 the first spring one. YC's announcement in January 2025 gave AI as part of the reason: "the rate of change currently happening as a result of AI is causing more people to create startups". The standard deal stayed at $500,000, the amount YC has invested in every company since early 2022.

YC companies per year

Companies listed in YC's directory by batch year, 2016 to 2026, as of 31 Oct 2026

YC companies per year
LabelValue
2016224 (2)
2017241 (2)
2018277 (2)
2019368 (2)
2020438 (2)
2021725 (2)
2022631 (2)
2023494 (2)
2024590 (3)
2025621 (4)
2026816 (4)
Notes are batches per year. 2026's batches: Winter 197, Spring 193, Summer 228, Fall 198 (in session). The largest single batch is still Winter 2022, with 398. These are directory listings, which can differ from YC's own funded counts: YC reported 260 companies for Winter 2024, and the directory lists 248.

Source: host0 analysis of the YC company directory

The batches also moved back to San Francisco. 72.3% of 2026 companies list San Francisco as a location, against 27.4% of the 2021 cohort, which mostly ran remote. Locations are current, so older companies may have moved since.

YC's partners have made big claims about what AI does inside these companies. In March 2025 YC said that a quarter of the Winter 2025 batch had 95% of their codebases generated by AI, in TechCrunch's paraphrase of partner Jared Friedman. Garry Tan told CNBC the whole Winter 2025 batch was growing "10% week on week", and in March 2026 wrote on X that Winter 2026 grew 14% a week on average across "nearly 200 startups". Those are YC's own figures, self-reported by founders, unaudited, and for the whole batch rather than its AI companies. We measured how much code AI writes elsewhere in our post on AI-written code.

What YC asks for#

YC publishes Requests for Startups, the ideas its partners want to fund. Until early 2024 it had a long-standing list of 20 topics, one of them "A.I.". The new-style list went up between February and March 2024, and the page now holds nine rounds, from "Summer 2024" to "Winter 2027", with 107 items. We read and coded each one.

AI products in YC's Requests for Startups

Share of items per round whose product is AI, Summer 2024 to Winter 2027 rounds, hand-coded

AI products in YC's Requests for Startups
LabelValue
Summer 202443.8% (7 of 16)
Winter 202533.3% (3 of 9)
Spring 202591.7% (11 of 12)
Summer 202592.9% (13 of 14)
Fall 202566.7% (4 of 6)
Spring 202680% (8 of 10)
Summer 202650% (8 of 16)
Fall 202661.5% (8 of 13)
Winter 202754.5% (6 of 11)
Labels are YC's round names. The highlighted peak, Summer 2025, called 2025 the year of AI agents. Counting AI compute, chips, data centres and robot hardware too, Winter 2027 is 9 of 11. There is no Winter 2026 round.

Source: host0 analysis of ycombinator.com/rfs

In total, 68 of the 107 items (64%) are AI products. With the physical buildout (compute, chips, data centres, robot hardware), it's 75 (70%), and 83 (78%) with ideas that only exist because of AI, such as retraining workers for the AI economy. The AI-product share peaked in 2025 and fell to 54.5% in the Winter 2027 round, whose framing is that "AI's biggest bottlenecks are moving beyond the models": data centre supply chains, robots made in America, financing for the physical buildout.

YC versus the rest of venture#

YC is more AI than the venture market it feeds, at least by count. In 2026 so far, AI took 82.7% of US venture deal value, the highest annual share in PitchBook's data, according to the PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor for Q3 2026, published in October 2026. But AI was about 45% of deals: a few huge rounds for frontier labs carry the dollar share.

AI's share of US venture capital

Share of US VC deal value, with share of deal count in the notes, FY2025 and Q1–Q3 2026

AI's share of US venture capital
LabelValue
202565.4% (count 39.4%)
Q1 202688.4% (46%)
Q2 202684.1% (44.4%)
Q3 202665.9% (44.9%)
Bars are deal value, notes deal count. PitchBook revises quarters: these are the Q3 2026 Monitor's figures (Q1 was first printed at 88.8% and 42.5%). For comparison, 86.2% of YC's 2026 companies describe themselves as AI, about twice AI's share of US deals.

Sources: PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor Q3 2026; Q4 2025

Globally the pattern is the same. In its 5 October 2026 report, Crunchbase counted $102 billion for AI startups in Q3 2026, 64% of all venture funding, down from the two quarters before. The comparison with YC isn't exact: we count companies by how they describe themselves, PitchBook counts deals by its own taxonomy. But the gap is wide enough to say YC's batches are more concentrated in AI than venture as a whole.

What this means if you build with AI#

  1. "AI" no longer tells anyone anything. Nine in ten YC companies say it. Say what the product does and who pays for it; the stricter question, whether the product is built on AI, is the one investors and customers will ask.
  2. Agents are crowded, and so is agent plumbing. A third of 2026 YC companies are agent companies, and a third of those build tools for other agents. If you build one, pick a customer and a job before you pick the primitive.
  3. The growth is in verticals. Vertical AI rose from 26.5% to 35.3% of YC's AI companies in two years, and AI-native firms that sell the service itself went from 6 to 32. Knowing one industry well is worth more than another horizontal assistant.
  4. Coding tools are the most contested space. Dev tools and infrastructure are a fifth of all 2026 companies, nearly all of them AI. TechCrunch found YC has backed near-duplicates before, so expect competition from inside your own batch.
  5. The open lane is physical. Robotics went from 0.7% to 18.0% of a batch, and YC's newest requests are about data centres, chips and robots. More than half of the companies that aren't AI at all are in industrials and hardware.
  6. Read the growth claims as claims. Weekly growth rates and "95% AI-written" come from YC partners and founders, not audits. Our counts are of descriptions too: useful for what founders want to be seen as, not proof of what their code does.
  7. Expect your own pitch to change. All 25 of the companies we read that moved to an AI pitch changed their one-liner after launch, and 14 became a different product. Write for this year, and don't be surprised to rewrite it.

One of the items in YC's Fall 2026 Requests for Startups is "A Cloud for Small Software", for tools with one or a small handful of users that are easy to build but hard to deploy and share. That's the problem host0 works on, and we wrote about the wider trend in personal software by the numbers.

Methodology#

We used public data only, collected on 31 October 2026.

  • The directory. Every company in YC's public directory at ycombinator.com/companies, read from the public search index behind the page, one query per batch so no batch hit the 1,000-result cap: 6,360 companies, matching the index's own total. We kept the one-liner, description, YC industry and sub-industry, tags, status, team size and locations. Batch codes follow YC's shorthand (W, X for spring, S, F); Launch HN posts also tag spring batches as P, which we read as X. Winter and Summer 2027 early admits (8 companies) are left out of every batch and year figure.
  • Three AI tests. Tag: one of YC's AI tags (AI, Generative AI, Machine Learning, Computer Vision, NLP and 11 more). Text: AI terms in the one-liner or description, plus "agent" when it isn't a human agent. AI-native: an AI term in the one-liner, or an AI tag plus an AI term in the description's opening. The headline "describe themselves as AI" is tag or text. W26 and X26 are mostly untagged (141 of 197 and 130 of 193), so we never use tags alone for them.
  • Hand checks. 300 random companies (150 from 2024–2026, 50 from 2020–2023, 100 from 2005–2019) read by one labeller and marked AI-native, AI-enabled or not AI. For 2024–2026 the broad test was right 96% of the time and found 95% of AI companies; for 2005–2019 its precision falls to 85%. A second sample of 100 agent-flagged companies gave 83 real agent companies.
  • Back-dating. 1,158 Launch HN stories from the HN Algolia API, 829 matched to directory companies by batch and name (using former names), with the same AI test run on the tagline then and the one-liner now. A Launch HN post can come a year or more after the batch, and launches are a self-selected, developer-heavy slice of each batch, so we use the differences, not the levels. A second count of every Launch HN title (926 with a batch tag, own keyword list) shows the same step: 12.6% of 2022 batches' titles mention AI, 38.8% of 2023's. For 2005–2019, the first Wayback capture of 60 AI-flagged companies' websites within about 18 months of the batch; 30 were usable.
  • Categories. Verticals are keyword matches on the one-liner and the description's opening; horizontal, vertical and consumer use YC's own industry labels. Robotics is a keyword, a Robotics tag or YC's Manufacturing and Robotics sub-industry.
  • Requests for Startups. All 107 items on ycombinator.com/rfs as of 31 October 2026, read from the page's script and coded by hand as AI product, AI buildout, AI premise or none. Rounds were dated by monthly Wayback captures. YC edits old rounds: the first print of Summer 2024 had 20 items, the live page keeps 16.
  • Limits. Every classification is of today's text, so pre-2023 shares are what those companies say now. Status, team size and location are current values. Counts are directory listings, which can differ from what YC funded. Fall 2026 is in session and still adding profiles. PitchBook and Crunchbase revise their quarters; we cite the edition linked.

The data pack, with every source, tier and the do-not-cite list, is in our repository at docs/research/2026-10-31-ai-startups-in-yc.md. The company list, the samples and their labels, and every script are in docs/research/2026-10-31-ai-startups-in-yc-data/.

Open questions#

  • How AI were the pre-2023 batches really? Launch HN and Wayback bound it at roughly 10–15% for 2015–2019, but only a dated snapshot of the directory would pin it, and none is archived.
  • What share of applicants pitch AI? YC publishes how many apply, not what they pitch, so we can't tell whether YC selects for AI or just receives it.
  • Are agent companies selling agents, or selling to them? Our rough split is two to one, from one sample of 83.
  • Do the AI companies do better? It's too early: 90% to 99% of 2024–2026 companies are still active, and the older AI companies are partly survivors that pivoted into AI.
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